Monday, August 18, 2008

Brad Delong on Obama's tax plan...

Former Clinton Administration economist... currently at Berkely Brad Delong on Obama's tax plan...
Stand Next to the Ugly, Dance Next to the Klutzy, and Talk Next to the Stupid...
It's not an ugly, dumb thing: it's an ugly, dumb, stupid thing.

I have three effects--a crowding-out effect, a higher-natural-rate-of-unemployment-due-to-less-capital-deepening effect, and an inflation-fear effect. The way the numbers work out is that I implicitly forecast that McCain will run average unified deficits of $500 billion a year, and Obama average unified deficits of roughly $150 billion a year. Push that down to a balanced unified budget and you get not an extra $600 billion but an extra $130 billion.

Aiming for a balanced unified deficit over the business cycle would, I think, be a good thing economically--but I really do not see how we could possibly get there.

The impact of the conservative revolution is that American's have such a terrible understanding about how an economy works that Democrats have to create these crazy economic plans that sell well.

Sigh... lesser of two evils... lesser of two evils...
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Jim Nichols
A Speculative Fiction
www.JimNichols4.com

2 comments:

DavidFL10 said...

The impact of the two-party system is that American's have such a terrible understanding about how an economy works that both parties create these crazy economic plans that sell well.

The lesser of two evils is still evil.

Jim Nichols said...

Amen brother...

sigh....